Welcome to week 3 of the NFL season! I started off with a W on Thursday. Of course I didn’t go against the Patriots at home as an underdog. It’s pretty funny how many people took Houston. I can’t trust a team vs the Patriots who have played two mediocre teams at home! Plus the system Belichick has on offense is incredible you can put in any QB you want and they will find a way to win.
So far this week is looking to be a little difficult ATS. There are two games with a spread of 10, three games with a spread of 8 and three with a spread of 5. Those are all tricky spreads to deal with.
Miami is one of the 10 point favorites against Cleveland. Cleveland is by far the worst team in the NFL this season especially since losing RGIII week one and McCown was banged up at the end of their game vs Baltimore. I can see Miami covering this week only because of how well they played two of the best teams on the road so far. Not to forget Cleveland has allowed over 2,000 rushing yards in the last calendar year which is by far the most in the NFL. Seattle vs San Fran is the other 10 point spread. I like Seattle in this match up simply because of how poor they played against Los Angeles in week two and barely pulling out the victory in week one vs Miami. Look to see Seattle getting their offense together and including Jimmy Graham more into their scheme. I can’t see San Fran doing that well again for a third straight week.
As for the 8 point spreads. Carolina is one at home vs Minnesota. So far I’m leaning towards the Carolina just because of how many injuries and adjustments the Vikings are currently going through. It’s too much to deal with while preparing for the defending NFC champions. Green Bay is another 8 point favorite at home vs Detroit. This is also a tough game because both teams are coming off of losses. I trust GB at home way more than DET on the road. As for the last 8 point spread, Dallas should easily beat Chicago by 8 points. I can’t see a rookie 3rd string coming in and making an impact on the road vs a gritty home team.